The case for ambiguity
reinventing warfare
The buzzing reinvention
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New people, new perspectives

Europe's migrant founders are reshaping innovation and driving reinvention

September 22, 2025

6 min read

September 22, 2025

6 min read

Photo: Dreamstime.

Kristo Käärmann’s frustration began with a Christmas bonus. The Estonian management consultant, working in London for Deloitte, received 10,000 UK pounds from his employer in December 2007. A tidy sum—until he transferred it home to pay his mortgage in euros. When the money landed in his Estonian account, 500 UK pounds had vanished. The culprit? His British bank had quietly used an exchange rate five per cent worse than the market rate, pocketing the difference.

“I had been incredibly stupid,” Käärmann later admitted. “I had foolishly expected that my UK bank would have given me the exchange rate I saw when I looked on Reuters and Bloomberg.”

That ‘missing’ 500 UK pounds sparked an idea. Käärmann and his friend Taavet Hinrikus—another Estonian in London, this one Skype’s former strategy director—devised an elegant workaround. Each month, they’d check the real exchange rate, then swap currencies between their accounts: Käärmann’s pounds into Hinrikus’s British account, Hinrikus’s euros into Käärmann’s Estonian one. No fees, no ripoffs, no waiting.

Four years later, their solution became TransferWise, now Wise, valued at over 11 billion US dollars. What began as a migrant’s mortgage problem had reinvented an entire industry.

The Tallinn testament

Käärmann’s story illuminates a broader truth about European innovation: the continent’s most transformative companies often spring from the frustrations of newcomers. These are not tales of integration but of reinvention—migrants who don’t simply join existing systems but rebuild them entirely.

Nowhere is this more evident than in Käärmann’s hometown Tallinn, recently crowned the world’s best city for startups by Monocle magazine. With just 450,000 residents, Estonia’s capital hardly seems a natural rival to London or Berlin. Yet this Baltic city has produced something remarkable: a nation with 7.7 unicorns per million inhabitants—the highest density in the world.

The Estonian model reveals something profound about the relationship between migration and innovation. Twenty-five per cent of Estonian start-up founders are now foreign citizens, drawn by the country’s radical digital infrastructure. Additionally, through its e-Residency programme, over 100,000 people from 170 countries have gained access to Estonia’s business environment without setting foot in Tallinn.

Digital natives and distant shores

Estonia’s success also demonstrates that geographical limitations that force global thinking. Unlike entrepreneurs in large domestic markets, Estonian founders know from day one that survival means scaling beyond borders. Bolt, the ride-hailing company, expanded from Tallinn to over 40 countries to reach unicorn status. Veriff built identity verification software from the start with global markets in mind.

This approach mirrors the experience of migrant entrepreneurs everywhere: constrained by local circumstances, they build solutions that transcend them. What makes Estonia different is how systematically it has embedded this mindset. The entire economy runs on the assumption that good ideas must travel.

The practical advantages are striking. Entrepreneurs can launch companies in under 20 minutes with no paperwork. Office rent averages roughly a tenth of London rates. More importantly, the regulatory framework accommodates rapid experimentation in ways that larger, more established systems cannot.

London’s loss

The contrast with London is instructive. Once Europe’s undisputed start-up capital, the city has seen its dominance erode in recent years. Only one ‘rocketship unicorn’ has emerged from London in the past five years, while cities like Stockholm, Paris, and Berlin accelerate past it.

This shift reflects both Brexit-related talent flight and the harsh new visa regulations for potential start-up founders that Brexit imposed. It suggests that London’s advantages—financial infrastructure, regulatory sophistication, network effects—may matter less than previously thought.

This is clearly London’s loss. Migrants offer not just skills but perspectives: different assumptions about how systems should work, different definitions of what problems are worth solving.

Integration’s limits

Elsewhere, Europe’s embrace of migrant entrepreneurship remains incomplete. Only 46 per cent of migrant founders in Germany feel well-connected compared to 57 per cent of domestic entrepreneurs. This integration gap reveals a deeper tension: the very outsider status that fuels innovation can hinder the networking essential for scaling.

The challenge is particularly acute outside established hubs. Significant disparities in innovation performance persist between European regions, and migrant entrepreneurs often struggle with unwritten rules and uneven playing fields. Traditional integration programmes, designed around language training and cultural assimilation, miss the point entirely.

What works instead are initiatives that celebrate difference rather than eliminate it. Estonia’s Startup Visa has attracted over 2,700 applications from 88 countries, not by promising integration but by offering immediate access to European markets through digital infrastructure.

The reinvention dividend

The distinction matters enormously. Integration implies joining existing systems; reinvention means rebuilding them. Käärmann didn’t integrate into banking—he created an alternative to it.

This pattern extends beyond individual companies. Migrant entrepreneurs build international connectivity and reinforce economic activity in ways that purely domestic entrepreneurs cannot. They arrive with what might be called ‘institutional fluency’—an understanding of how systems work differently elsewhere, and therefore how they might work differently here.

The implications for European competitiveness are substantial. As the continent grapples with demographic decline and intensifying global competition, the capacity for systematic reinvention becomes crucial. The question is not whether Europe can attract talent—clearly it can—but whether it can create conditions for that talent to transform rather than merely augment existing capabilities.

Beyond the Baltic

Estonia’s experiment offers a template, but not a blueprint. The Estonian model works partly because of specific historical circumstances: the post-Soviet need to build institutions from scratch, the absence of legacy systems to constrain innovation, the cultural memory of adapting to radical change.

Other European regions face different challenges. Cities must balance innovation with established industries, newcomers with existing communities, global ambitions with local concerns. The solutions will necessarily vary. What should remain constant is the recognition that migration, at its best, offers more than labour—it offers new ways of thinking about old problems.

The test of European innovation policy in the coming decade will be whether it can systematically harness this potential. That means moving beyond traditional metrics of integration—language fluency, cultural adaptation, employment rates—toward measures of reinvention: new business models, transformed industries, problems solved that locals didn’t know they had.

Käärmann’s stolen 500 UK pounds seems a small price for what it ultimately bought: a new understanding of how money should move. The lesson for Europe is simpler still. Sometimes the best way forward is to let newcomers show you the way.

Whether Europe can systematically embrace this reinvention potential will largely determine its competitiveness in the decades ahead. The early signs suggest that the continent’s future may well depend on its newcomers—not despite their outsider status, but because of it.

Photo: Dreamstime.

Craig Turp-Balazs

Craig Turp-Balazs

Craig Turp-Balazs is head of insight and analysis at Reinvantage.

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Case study: Global technology company

1. The Client

A global technology company operating across EMEA, with a regional HQ in Istanbul. The company manages 20+ markets, handling everything from brand campaigns to strategic partnerships.

Role we worked with: The EMEA Head of Marketing (supported by two regional managers).

2. The Challenge

Despite strong products and a respected global brand, the regional team was struggling with:

  • Misaligned strategy across markets → campaigns executed with inconsistent narratives.
  • Slowed growth → lead generation plateaued despite increasing spend.
  • Internal friction → marketing, sales, and product teams disagreed on KPIs and priorities.

Traditional fixes (more meetings, more reporting) only created more noise.

3. The Sprint

We ran a 10-day Remote Reinvention Sprint with the regional HQ team.

  • Day 1–3: Intake → Reviewed decks, campaign data, and plans.
  • Day 4: Sprint Session (90 mins) → Breakthroughs:
    • Sales and marketing had different definitions of “qualified lead.”
    • 40% of spend was going into low-potential markets.
    • The team assumed the problem was lack of budget, but it was actually lack of alignment.
  • Day 5–10: Synthesis → Insights distilled into a Clarity Brief + Insight Canvas.
4. The Breakthrough

The Sprint uncovered that the issue wasn’t budget, but fragmentation.
Three sharp insights unlocked a way forward:

  1. Unified KPIs bridging marketing + sales.
  2. Market prioritisation → shifting budget to 5 high-potential markets.
  3. Simplified narrative → one EMEA core story, locally adaptable.
By just realigning resources and focus, the client could unlock an estimated £250,000 in efficiency gains within the next 12 months — far exceeding the Sprint’s value guarantee. The path to higher returns was already inside the business, hidden by misalignment.
5. From Sprint to Action (4 Pillars Applied)

With clarity secured, Reinvantage didn’t suggest “more projects.”

Instead, we used the Sprint findings to create laser-focused next steps — drawing only from the areas that would deliver the most impact:

  • Readiness → Alignment workshops for sales + marketing teams. New playbooks clarified “qualified lead” definitions and reduced internal disputes.
  • Foresight → A market-opportunity scan identified which 5 countries would deliver the highest ROI, removing the guesswork from allocation.
  • Growth → Guided the reallocation of €2M budget and designed a phased rollout strategy that protected risk while maximising return.
  • Positioning → Built a messaging framework balancing global consistency with local nuance, ensuring campaigns spoke with one clear voice.

Because the Sprint had stripped away noise, these actions weren’t generic consulting ideas — they were directly tied to the breakthroughs.

6. The Results
  • +28% increase in qualified leads across the region.
  • 30% faster campaign rollout due to streamlined approvals.
  • Budget efficiency gains → €2M redirected from low-return to high-potential markets.
  • Internal cohesion → marketing + sales now use a single shared dashboard.
The client came in believing they needed more budget.
The Sprint revealed that what they really needed was clarity and alignment.

With that clarity, the four pillars became not theory, but practical tools to deliver measurable impact.

The Sprint guaranteed at least £20,000 in value — but in this case, it helped unlock more than 10x that within six months.

Case study: Regional VC fund & accelerator

1. The Client

A regional venture capital fund and accelerator focused on early-stage tech start-ups in the Baltics and Central Europe.

The fund had raised a new round and was under pressure to deliver stronger returns while also building its reputation as the go-to platform for founders.

Role we worked with: Managing Partner, supported by the Head of Portfolio Development.

2. The Challenge

Despite a promising portfolio, results were uneven.

Key issues:

  • Scattered portfolio support → no consistent playbook for start-ups, every partner did things differently.
  • Weak differentiation → founders and co-investors saw the fund as “one of many” in the region.
  • Stretched team → too many small bets, not enough clarity on which companies to double down on.

The leadership team knew something was off, but disagreed on whether the issue was pipeline quality, market conditions, or internal capacity.

3. The Sprint

We ran a 10-day Remote Reinvention Sprint with the partners and portfolio team.

  • Day 1–3: Intake → Reviewed pitch decks, pipeline funnel data, and start-up performance reports.
  • Day 4: Sprint Session (90 mins) → Breakthroughs:
    • No shared definition of a “high-potential founder.”
    • Support resources were spread too thin across the portfolio.
    • The fund’s positioning was more reactive than proactive — it didn’t own a distinctive narrative in the market.
  • Day 5–10: Synthesis → Insights consolidated into a Clarity Brief + Insight Canvas.
4. The Breakthrough

The Sprint revealed that the challenge wasn’t pipeline quality — it was lack of focus and positioning.

Three core insights provided the turning point:

  1. Portfolio Prioritisation Framework → defined clear criteria for where to double down.
  2. Founder Success Playbook → standardised support model for portfolio companies.
  3. Differentiated Narrative → repositioned the fund as “the accelerator of reinvention-ready founders.”
These shifts alone gave the fund a path to add an estimated £2M+ in portfolio value over the following 18 months, by concentrating capital and resources where they could move the needle most.
5. From Sprint to Action (4 Pillars Applied)

With clarity from the Sprint, Reinvantage created a tailored support plan:

  • Readiness → Coached partners on using the new prioritisation framework and trained the team on deploying the Founder Success Playbook.
  • Foresight → Ran scenario analysis on regional tech trends, helping the fund anticipate where capital would flow next.
  • Growth → Guided resource reallocation across the portfolio and supported new co-investor pitches for top-performing start-ups.
  • Positioning → Crafted a sharper brand story for the fund, positioning it as the reinvention partner for globally minded founders.
6. The Results
  • 10 portfolio companies onboarded to the new Playbook → greater consistency of support.
  • Raised follow-on capital for 3 top start-ups with the new prioritisation framework.
  • +26% increase in inbound deal flow from founders citing the fund’s new positioning.
  • Stronger internal cohesion → partners aligned on where to focus resources.
The client thought the problem was pipeline quality.
The Sprint showed it was actually lack of clarity and focus inside the firm.

By applying the four pillars, Reinvantage helped turn scattered effort into concentrated value creation.

The Sprint guaranteed at least £20,000 in value; here it set the stage for multi-million-pound upside in portfolio growth.

Case study: International impact Organisation

1. The Client

A large international impact organisation focused on entrepreneurship and economic empowerment.
The organisation runs multi-country programmes across Eastern Europe and Central Asia, often in partnership with global donors and corporate sponsors.

Role we worked with: Senior Programme Director, responsible for regional coordination.

2. The Challenge

The organisation had launched a flagship regional initiative supporting women entrepreneurs, but the programme was underperforming.

Key issues:

  • Fragmented delivery → each country office interpreted the programme differently.
  • Donor frustration → reporting lacked consistency and clear impact metrics.
  • Lost momentum → staff energy was spent on administration rather than scaling success stories.

Traditional programme reviews had produced long reports, but no real alignment or action.

3. The Sprint

We ran a 10-day Remote Reinvention Sprint with the regional leadership team and representatives from two country offices.

  • Day 1–3: Intake → Reviewed donor reports, programme KPIs, and field feedback.
  • Day 4: Sprint Session (90 mins) → Breakthroughs:
    • Donors cared about quantifiable outcomes, but reporting focused on stories.
    • Staff were duplicating efforts across countries, wasting time and resources.
    • The initiative lacked a clear theory of change — everyone described its purpose differently.
  • Day 5–10: Synthesis → Insights distilled into a Clarity Brief + Insight Canvas.
4. The Breakthrough

The Sprint revealed that the issue wasn’t donor pressure or programme design — it was a lack of shared framework and alignment.

Three critical insights reshaped the path forward:

  1. One Unified Theory of Change → agreed narrative for why the programme exists.
  2. Core Impact Metrics → clear, comparable KPIs across all countries.
  3. Smart Resource Sharing → digital hub to stop duplication and accelerate knowledge flow.
By eliminating duplicated reporting and clarifying what success looks like, the client saw they could save the equivalent of £100,000 in staff time annually — while also unlocking stronger donor confidence and follow-on funding opportunities.
5. From Sprint to Action (4 Pillars Applied)

Armed with Sprint clarity, Reinvantage proposed a laser-focused support plan:

  • Readiness → Trained programme leads on using the new metrics and integrated them into existing workflows.
  • Foresight → Analysed donor trends and expectations, aligning the initiative with the next funding cycle.
  • Growth → Developed a funding case based on the new unified theory of change, securing higher renewal chances.
  • Positioning → Crafted a regional success narrative and storytelling toolkit, helping them showcase results consistently across markets.
6. The Results
  • 30% less time spent on reporting → freed capacity for programme delivery.
  • Donor satisfaction improved → positive feedback on the clarity of impact evidence.
  • Secured new funding commitment → one major donor increased their contribution by 20%.
  • Stronger internal morale → staff felt they were working with clarity, not chaos.
The client thought it needed better donor management.
The Sprint revealed it needed a shared foundation across its teams.

By anchoring on the four pillars, Reinvantage turned alignment into efficiency gains and fresh funding opportunities.

The Sprint guaranteed at least £20,000 in value; here it unlocked both six-figure savings and future-proofed funding.

Case study: National digital development agency

1. The Client

A national digital development agency tasked with driving the government’s digital transformation agenda, including e-services, citizen portals, and smart city pilots.

Role we worked with: Director of Digital Transformation, supported by IT and service delivery leads from three ministries.

2. The Challenge

The agency had strong political backing but faced hurdles in implementation.

Key issues:

  • Siloed projects → each ministry developed digital tools independently, leading to duplication.
  • Citizen frustration → services were digital in name, but still required multiple logins and offline steps.
  • Funding pressure → international partners demanded clearer impact in the short term.

The agency wanted to accelerate momentum but struggled to get alignment across ministries.

3. The Sprint

We ran a 14-day Immersive Reinvention Sprint with the agency’s leadership and digital focal points from three ministries.

  • Day 1–3: Intake → Reviewed strategy docs, donor reports, and citizen feedback data.
  • Day 4: Immersive Sprint Session (half-day) → Breakthroughs:
    • Each ministry had different definitions of “digital service.”
    • 20% of budget was going into overlapping pilot projects.
    • Citizens’ top frustrations were known — but not prioritised.
  • Day 5–14: Synthesis → Insights consolidated into a Clarity Brief + Insight Canvas.
4. The Breakthrough

The Sprint revealed that the biggest blocker wasn’t lack of funding, but lack of shared priorities.

Three practical insights stood out:

  1. One Definition of Digital Service → agreed across ministries.
  2. Quick-Win Prioritisation → focus on top 3 citizen pain points (ID renewal, business registration, healthcare booking).
  3. Shared Resource Map → pool budgets to eliminate duplication.
These changes alone allowed the agency to unlock £75,000 in immediate savings and deliver 2–3 visible improvements in the next quarter — meeting donor expectations and building citizen trust.
5. From Sprint to Action (4 Pillars Applied)

Based on the Sprint clarity, Reinvantage proposed a modest, targeted package of support:

  • Readiness → Facilitated inter-ministerial workshops to embed the “one digital service” definition.
  • Foresight → Analysed citizen feedback trends to shape the quick-win roadmap.
  • Growth → Supported the reallocation of funds to joint projects, reducing overlap.
  • Positioning → Crafted a communication plan highlighting early digital wins to donors and citizens.
6. The Results
  • 2 pilot services integrated into the central portal (ID renewal + healthcare booking).
  • Budget savings of £75,000 from eliminating overlapping projects.
  • Citizen satisfaction up modestly → call centre complaints on digital services dropped by 12%.
  • Donor confidence improved → short-term impact report received positive feedback.
The client thought it needed more funding and bigger projects.
The Sprint revealed it first needed clarity and alignment.

By applying the four pillars to a targeted scope, Reinvantage helped deliver visible results within a single quarter — proving progress to citizens and donors and laying the groundwork for deeper transformation.